The full article is here-> http://www.daily-times.com/story/opinion/columnists/2016/10/29/fine-opec-oil-and-ours-who-wins/92440428/
This is an excerpt of the article ”
Has the oil price and market share war ended with a Saudi Arabian win? Or, as some fund managers and speculators argue, has Midland won? We are now in a trading range high of $50 per barrel for West Texas Intermediate.
Looking back two years, Wall Street, the oil and gas industry and its trade associations got it all wrong. I was a minority of one in New Mexico with my OPEC analysis of a low of $23 to $28 per barrel which was realized earlier this year. Once again there is triumphalism and hubris about winning the war against OPEC.
What is it all about? If OPEC agrees to freeze production at August output that would put OPEC between 32.5 and 33 million barrels per day. In 2013, OPEC was below 30 million. If they “freeze” it will be at 2.5 million more than early 2014 while our production had dropped almost 1.5 million.
In other words, OPEC oil expanded its market share and more significantly has displaced our oil here at home in the American market by nearly one million barrels per barrel. This is a double win for OPEC and Saudi Arabia: more of their oil imported into our market and fewer barrels of our oil produced, which is the loss of rigs and jobs and a painful downturn.
The Permian Basin and its Delaware Basin extension into New Mexico has become the new North Slope Alaska of the 1970s. It is there that drilling rigs and well completions will be re-activated next year. The “breakeven” price is lower because of geology and cost-cutting service contracts. The downturn contracts, however, will expire and non-Haliburton contractors will ask for more. Margins will tighten as costs increase. But North Dakota has leveled off and Eagle Ford is not the Permian.”
What do money markets, antiques, gold, corn, wheat, and stocks in companies like Google or Apple have in common? They’re bought by speculators.
And yet speculators, especially in oil, have become the bogeyman of economics. On tomorrow’s I Spy Radio Show (11-noon, kykn.com), we talk with Dr. Daniel Fine about America’s energy resources and energy policy. What role do speculators have in the price of oil?
And find out why those who think high gas prices might hurt Obama’s re-election may be in for a big surprise.
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Dr Daniel Fine takes on the opposition to Shale Gas and Fracking in the video below: Go to the John Locke Foundation website (locker room) for complete video
Please send this youtube video on to your friends and family–spread the word on this all important issue!
Dr. Fine spoke in Raleigh, NC in a lecture sponsored by the John Locke Foundation and the Jesse Helms Center entitled “Shale Gas Wars: From Pennsylvania to North Carolina”
“While North Carolina struggles with an ongoing abysmal employment situation, fracking is providing a welcome boon for North Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Ohio, among others. Being a latecomer in the game could have its own benefits, however; as Daniel Fine of the New Mexico Center for Energy Policy has explained, North Carolina is well positioned to survey and adopt the best practices, the best technology, and the best legal landscape. And the Deep River Basin in Lee and Chatham counties offers an especially promising area for development.”
Dr. Daniel I. Fine works with the New Mexico Center for Energy Policy. He is a longtime research associate at the Mining and Minerals Resources Institute, MIT. Fine is also a policy adviser on nonconventional oil and gas. He is co-editor of Resource War in 3-D: Dependence, Diplomacy and Defense, and has contributed to Business Week, the Engineering and Mining Journal and the Washington Times. Fine has testified on strategic natural resources before the U.S. Senate committees on Foreign Affairs and Energy and Natural Resources. In this speech, he discusses “Shale Gas Wars: From Pennsylvania to North Carolina.”