Analysis by the father of American Geopolitics Dr. Daniel Fine, MIT.

Posts tagged ‘shale gas’

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No end in sight for NM’s oil boom


No end in sight for NM’s oil boom

A pumpjack operates near Carlsbad. New Mexico's oil production jumped 17 percent in 2013, with more growth projected this year. (Courtesy of NMOGA)

Copyright © 2014 Albuquerque Journal

The oil boom in southeast New Mexico just keeps growing, and there’s no end in sight.

Oil production jumped by another 17 percent in 2013, according to the latest statistics from the state Oil Conservation Division. That puts New Mexico production back to 1973 levels.

And, this year, experts project another 18 to 20 percent increase.

“Déjà vu,” said Daniel Fine, associate director of the Center for Energy Policy at the New Mexico Institute for Mining and Technology in Socorro. “We’re now back in the early 1970s, which was a period of energy self-sufficiency and independence. It’s a remarkable energy revolution.”

Output reached 99.1 million barrels last year, up from 85.1 million in 2012 and 71.3 million the year before. That represents two straight years of double-digit growth that has pushed production up 39 percent since 2011.

a01_jd_10may_oilOverall, oil output has grown 67 percent since 2008, when the state first began to reverse a three-decade decline that had begun in the early 1970s.

This year, the Center for Energy Policy expects production to expand to between 117 and 119 million barrels.

“We’re at about 270,000 barrels per day now, but we project that to reach between 320,000 and 325,000 per day in 2014,” Fine said. “That would give us the equivalent of about two-thirds of all the oil production in Alaska. In just a few years, we’ll be back at our all-time peak of 129 million barrels, which was achieved in 1969.”

The industry’s newfound fortune comes from modern drilling techniques, including three-dimensional imaging to pinpoint pools of oil and natural gas that producers ignored in the past, hydraulic fracturing to bust open extremely tough shale rock formations and horizontal drilling to push sideways into hydrocarbon deposits.

Those techniques have opened up vast new oil and gas plays around the country, while giving new life to aging basins, such as the Permian in West Texas and Southeast New Mexico, where production originally dates back to the 1920s.

Horizontal drilling in particular has allowed producers to slice into layers of shale bed, where huge pockets of liquids and dry gas are trapped.

“That’s made a huge difference,” said New Mexico Tech geologist Ron Broadhead. “More than half the active wells in New Mexico have been drilled horizontally. About 40 percent of the state’s production is due to that.”

Thanks to the new technologies, the Permian Basin is now estimated to contain some of the largest underground deposits of oil in the world, Fine said.

That’s good news for New Mexico, where royalties and taxes on oil and gas production account for about 31 percent of the state’s general budget, according to a new study released in January by the New Mexico Tax Research Institute. Last year, that amounted to $1.7 billion of the state’s $5.5 billion general fund.

Still, sustaining industry momentum depends on a number of things, especially adequate infrastructure. Road repair, construction of new pipelines and refineries, and more housing for workers are all critical.

“Oil production in New Mexico is no longer a drilling issue;it’s a matter of infrastructure development,” Fine said. “We need to work on that or it will begin to affect production.” For the complete story use this link–> http://www.abqjournal.com/397859/news/no-end-in-sight-for-nms-oil-boom.html

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Encana announces multi-million dollar drilling plans for 2014 in the San Juan Basin


http://www.daily-times.com/farmington-business/ci_24615895/encana-announces-multi-million-dollar-drilling-plans-2014

Encana announces multi-million dollar drilling plans for 2014 in the San Juan Basin

By Leigh Black Irvin The Daily Times

FARMINGTON — Encana Corporation announced earlier this month a new company strategy and vision, with much of that strategy being focused on the San Juan Basin where it plans to invest hundreds of millions of dollars in new oil and gas production beginning in 2014.

The announcement has prompted a flurry of speculation among those in the local oil and gas industry that the increased drilling will begin immediately after the first of the year.

In a Nov. 5 news release, the Calgary-based Encana outlined key points of its strategy, the first of which states that it will “focus its capital investment on five oil and liquids-rich resource plays in North America.”

The release goes on to state that Encana will “invest approximately 75 percent of its 2014 capital into five high return oil and liquids-rich plays: the Montney, Duvernay, DJ Basin, San Juan Basin and Tuscaloosa Marine Shale.”

In dollar amounts, this translates to 350 million to 400 million dollars in capital that Encana plans to invest in the San Juan Basin in 2014, said Encana spokesman Doug Hock.

“We will run two to four rigs in the area where oil and liquids are,” said Hock. “Our strategy is to develop oil and natural gas liquids plays in the Mancos Shale over the course of 2014.”

Hock said that to date, Encana has drilled some 20 wells in the Basin at a rate of approximately one well a month, and the increased production plans are a result of the positive drilling performance already seen in the basin, as well as economic conditions that make drilling in this area beneficial to the company. For more of the article use this link–> http://www.daily-times.com/farmington-business/ci_24615895/encana-announces-multi-million-dollar-drilling-plans-2014

I Spy Radio Show – Hear Energy Expert Dr. Daniel Fine on Speculation: Oil & Gas


What do money markets, antiques, gold, corn, wheat, and stocks in companies like Google or Apple have in common? They’re bought by speculators.

And yet speculators, especially in oil, have become the bogeyman of economics. On tomorrow’s I Spy Radio Show (11-noon, kykn.com), we talk with Dr. Daniel Fine about America’s energy resources and energy policy. What role dospeculators have in the price of oil?

To hear Dr. Fine on I spy Radio click on this link—–>

http://www.gripnw.com/Audio/iSpyShow_04142012_DrFine-AmericasEnergy.mp3


Guest & Links mentions on the show

  • Listen live on the radio, Saturdays 11-noon (Pacific time) via 1430-AM in the greater Salem Area (Corvallis to Tigard, Lyons to Grand Ronde)
  • Listen live from anywhere in the world via kykn.com (11-noon on Saturdays) via the “listen live” tab up top of web page
  • Download the show after it airs. Just go to the Current Show page. The download link becomes active shortly after noon each Saturday.

Podcast: I Spy Minute – Dr. Daniel Fine On speculation: Oil & Gas


What do money markets, antiques, gold, corn, wheat, and stocks in companies like Google or Apple have in common? They’re bought by speculators.

And yet speculators, especially in oil, have become the bogeyman of economics. On tomorrow’s I Spy Radio Show (11-noon, kykn.com), we talk with Dr. Daniel Fine about America’s energy resources and energy policy. What role do speculators have in the price of oil?

And find out why those who think high gas prices might hurt Obama’s re-election may be in for a big surprise.

  • Listen live on the radio, Saturdays 11-noon (Pacific time) via 1430-AM in the greater Salem Area (Corvallis to Tigard, Lyons to Grand Ronde)
  • Listen live from anywhere in the world via kykn.com (11-noon on Saturdays) via the “listen live” tab up top of web page
  • Download the show after it airs. Just go to the Current Show page. The download link becomes active shortly after noon each Saturday.

Podcast: I Spy Minute – Dr. Daniel Fine On speculation: Oil & Gas


What do money markets, antiques, gold, corn, wheat, and stocks in companies like Google or Apple have in common? They’re bought by speculators.

And yet speculators, especially in oil, have become the bogeyman of economics. On tomorrow’s I Spy Radio Show (11-noon, kykn.com), we talk with Dr. Daniel Fine about America’s energy resources and energy policy. What role do speculators have in the price of oil?

And find out why those who think high gas prices might hurt Obama’s re-election may be in for a big surprise.

  • Listen live on the radio, Saturdays 11-noon (Pacific time) via 1430-AM in the greater Salem Area (Corvallis to Tigard, Lyons to Grand Ronde)
  • Listen live from anywhere in the world via kykn.com (11-noon on Saturdays) via the “listen live” tab up top of web page
  • Download the show after it airs. Just go to the Current Show page. The download link becomes active shortly after noon each Saturday.

Potential Bounty for North Carolina


By Dr. Daniel I. Fine

Nearly 40 years ago, when the first oil price shock from the Middle East and OPEC disrupted the American economy, North Carolina and Appalachia briefly became an oil and gas frontier. Following geological investigations, Chevron drilled an exploratory well in the Deep River Basin beneath Lee County, N.C. Oil was discovered at 5,000 feet, but it contained excessive paraffin and Chevron plugged the well.

It remains there today as a new natural gas and oil technology has emerged: the capability of opening tight rock formations or shale through hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling.

Why is North Carolina not yet a site for drilling rigs, mud and service companies? Why is there shale gas exploration and production in the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, and on different rock formations in Arkansas, Texas and in the Rocky Mountains?

The answer is political.

Read Energy expert Dr. Daniel Fine’s Op-Ed “Potential bounty for North Carolina”now on Shale Gas in North Carolina


Dr. Fine writes “Nearly 40 years ago, when the first oil price shock from the Middle East and OPEC disrupted the American economy, North Carolina and Appalachia briefly became an oil and gas frontier. Following geological investigations, Chevron drilled an exploratory well in the Deep River Basin beneath Lee County, N.C. Oil was discovered at 5,000 feet, but it contained excessive paraffin and Chevron plugged the well. and asks the question: Why is North Carolina not yet a site for drilling rigs, mud and service companies? Why is there shale gas exploration and production in the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania and West Virginia, and on different rock formations in Arkansas, Texas and in the Rocky Mountains?

 

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